There are three bonds in a diversified bond portfolio, whose default probabilities are independent of each other and equal to 1%, 2% and 3% respectively over a 1 year time horizon. Calculate the probability that none of the three bonds will default.
The probability that only none of the three bonds will default is equal to the probability of all surviving. Since default correlation is zero, we can simply multiply the probabilities of survival. Therefore the correct answer is 94% = (1 - 1%) * (1 - 2%) * (1 - 3%)
Contribute your Thoughts:
Chosen Answer:
This is a voting comment (?). You can switch to a simple comment. It is better to Upvote an existing comment if you don't have anything to add.
Submit