Influencer– something that can impact the organization (e.g., “rising jet fuel prices”).
Assessment– the organization’sevaluationorinterpretationof influencers (e.g., “this will hurt the airline’s business”).
Risk– a specific kind of negative potential impact identified by an assessment.
The scenario says:
“The chief economist… projects increasing costs for jet fuel andbelieves those costs will hurt the airline's business.”
Theincreasing jet fuel coststhemselves are theInfluencer.
Thebelief about its impact(“will hurt business”) is theevaluation of that influencer, which is precisely a BMMAssessment.
So, this belief is modeled as:An assessment.
(Option A,Risk, is related but more specific; the question focuses on the belief/evaluation itself, which is BMM’sAssessmentconcept.)
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