A firm has a 50% chance of receiving its daily purchases of fresh bread from a supplier in the event a regional flooding incident. The supply manager approaches two suppliers in geographic locations less likely to be disrupted by the event, and both agree to be ad-hoc suppliers. Their likelihoods of supplying in the event of the flood incident are 75% and 80% respectively. If the flooding event occurs, purchases would be sought from all three companies. Based on this information, what is the probability of the firm being supplied fresh bread during a major regional flooding event’
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