Marie is getting married tomorrow, at an outdoor ceremony in the desert. In recent years, it has
rained only 5 days each year. Unfortunately, the weatherman has predicted rain for tomorrow. When it actually rains, the weatherman correctly forecasts rain 90% of the time. When it doesn't rain, he incorrectly forecasts rain 10% of the time. Which of the following will you use to calculate the probability whether it will rain on the
day of Marie’s wedding?
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