This situation represents a Threat within SWOT analysis. SWOT distinguishes between internal and external factors. Strengths and weaknesses are internal to the organisation, while opportunities and threats are external.

Here, the short-term spike in demand is external to Callie’s business. It is also potentially harmful because increased competition for raw materials [rubber, metal, etc.] can lead to higher prices, longer lead times, and supply shortages. Therefore, this is categorised as a threat.

It cannot be an opportunity, as the increase in demand benefits suppliers rather than Callie’s firm. Nor is it a strength or weakness, as those describe factors within the company such as production capabilities or financial resources.

Using SWOT in category management allows managers to anticipate and mitigate external risks while leveraging internal strengths. Recognising this threat means Callie may develop strategies such as dual sourcing, supplier collaboration, or forward buying to reduce exposure.

[Ref: CIPS L5M6 Study Guide, p.122 – SWOT analysis in category management]