To determine the probability of achieving a specific monetary threshold, data-driven decision making relies onstandardization using the z-score. A z-score measures how many standard deviations a value is from the mean and allows analysts to calculate probabilities using the normal distribution.

In this scenario, the nonprofit wants to assess the likelihood that total donations will reach at least $50,000 given a known mean and standard deviation. The z-score enables conversion of the donation target into a standardized value, which can then be evaluated using probability tables or statistical software.

R-squared measures model fit in regression, the t-statistic is used in hypothesis testing, and the median does not support probability calculations. Therefore, the appropriate measure for determining probability in this context is thez-score, making optionDcorrect.