Expected value is the theoretical long-term average outcome of a random variable over many repeated trials. It is calculated by multiplying each possible value by its probability and then summing those products. For a discrete random variable, E(X) = ΣxP(x). Expected value does not necessarily have to be an outcome that can occur in one trial. For example, the expected value of rolling a fair six-sided die is 3.5, even though no face shows 3.5. It represents the balance point of the probability distribution. The median is the middle value of an ordered distribution, and the mode is the most likely or most frequent value. Expected value may equal 0 in some distributions, but it is not defined as 0. The best conceptual definition is long-term average. Study Guide references/topics: expected value, random variables, probability distributions, long-run average.
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