Scenario planningis widely regarded as a critical tool to address uncertainty in external environments. It involves developing and analyzing multiple plausible future scenarios to help organizations prepare flexible strategies. This tool enhances awareness of risks and opportunities beyond linear forecasts. Consensus building and decision tree analysis have roles in strategy but do not directly address the complexity of uncertain futures. The IASP SPP curriculum identifies scenario planning as key for robust environmental scanning and strategic adaptability.【IASP SPP Study Guide - Environmental Analysis】【Schoemaker, P.,“Scenario Planning”】
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