GARP Financial Risk and Regulation (FRR) Series 2016-FRR Question # 53 Topic 6 Discussion
2016-FRR Exam Topic 6 Question 53 Discussion:
Question #: 53
Topic #: 6
Which one of the following four statements regarding commodity derivative risks is INCORRECT?
A.
Because of the different demand/supply balance in each region and the cost of transporting the oil between regions, a tanker of Brent crude oil in the UK will have a different value to a UK buyer than a tanker of Arab light crude oil in Singapore, which results in the basis risk.
B.
Calendar spreads represent a special case of basis risk and occur when the relative prices of commodity futures do not come in alignment and the trader becomes exposed to the absolute price movements.
C.
In most commodities, the longest term contracts are the most volatile, while the shortest term forward contract are the least volatile.
D.
Some commodities can be both in backwardation and a have a strong seasonal element.
This statement is incorrect because it is generally observed that longer-term contracts can be less volatile due to the smoothing effect over time, whereas short-term contracts can be more sensitive to immediate market conditions and supply-demand imbalances.
References
Verified with information on the volatility of term contracts in commodity derivatives discussed in the book "How Finance Works".
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